The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
سجلت الدولة الجزائرية محاولتين من أجل التنمية، بهما أرادت القضاء على كل مخلفات الاستعمار الفرنسي، من فقر وجهل وأمراض وحرمان من أبسط ضرورات الحياة، كما عملت جاهدة على أن تكون دولة لها مكانة في صفوف الدول الصاعدة على الأقل، لما حباها الله من موارد مادية ومالية وبشرية، وموقع جيو استراتيجي، قلت مثيلة في العالم، بالنسبة لمساحتها الجغرافية الكبيرة وتنوع تضاريسها الطبيعية، وترتيبها المتقدم في الطا
... Show Moreأخذت مواضيع اللياقة البدنية من اجل الصحة تفرض نفسها على المساحة البحثية بعد ان أصبحت تكون مطلبا مهما وجواباً شافيا للعديد من المشاكل الناتجة عن طبيعة التعامل مع الحياة العصرية الراهنة ,فالإعمال التي كانت تحتاج إلى ساعات من العمل اليدوي أصبحت تنجز بفعل التكنولوجيا الحديثة بظرف دقائق وبوساطة المعدات والآلات .
لا يخفى على الجميع من ان الفرد العربي يعاني من ضعف الوعي بالذات الوعي السياسي ، مما جعل الدولة و اهمية وجودها و المحافظة على مؤسساتها ليست ضمن اهتماماته مما جعل الباحثين يتساءلون عن امكانية تعزيزه و مدى تأثير ذلك على مستقبل بناء الدولة العربية المعاصرة ، لذلك حاولت الدراسة تناول موضوع الوعي المجتمعي وأثره في بناء الدولة من خلال رؤية فكرية واضحة المعالم، مزجت بين ما هو اجتماعي وسياسي لتحديد مفهوم الوعي
... Show MoreThe conjunctive ''and'' and its Arabic counterpart ''و'' are discourse markers that express certain meanings and presuppose the presence of other elements in discourse. They are indispensable aids to both the text writers and readers. The present study aims to show that such cohesive ties help the writer to organize his main argument and communicate his ideas vividly and smoothly. They also serve as explicit signals that help readers unfold text and follow its threads as realized in the progression of context. The researcher has utilized the Quirk Model of Semantic Implication for data analysis. A total of 42 (22 for English and 20 for Arabic) political texts selected from different elite newspapers in both Arabic and English for the analy
... Show MoreThe railways network is one of the huge infrastructure projects. Therefore, dealing with these projects such as analyzing and developing should be done using appropriate tools, i.e. GIS tools. Because, traditional methods will consume resources, time, money and the results maybe not accurate. In this research, the train stations in all of Iraq’s provinces were studied and analyzed using network analysis, which is one of the most powerful techniques within GIS. A free trial copy of ArcGIS®10.2 software was used in this research in order to achieve the aim of this study. The analysis of current train stations has been done depending on the road network, because people used roads to reach those train stations. The data layers for this st
... Show MoreIn general, the importance of cluster analysis is that one can evaluate elements by clustering multiple homogeneous data; the main objective of this analysis is to collect the elements of a single, homogeneous group into different divisions, depending on many variables. This method of analysis is used to reduce data, generate hypotheses and test them, as well as predict and match models. The research aims to evaluate the fuzzy cluster analysis, which is a special case of cluster analysis, as well as to compare the two methods—classical and fuzzy cluster analysis. The research topic has been allocated to the government and private hospitals. The sampling for this research was comprised of 288 patients being treated in 10 hospitals. As t
... Show MoreThe mysterious letters, the philosophy of existence and the meaning of these letters in the Qur'an is one of the mysterious issues that has always occupied the minds of Interpreters. Each Interpreter has tried to provide his own interpretation and understanding of these mysterious letters. Since these letters are part of the surah of the Qur'an and at the same time, the appearance of these letters, unlike other verses, does not indicate meaning, the commentators have approached these verses with their preconceptions. In this article, an attempt has been made to investigate the role of pre-interpreters of descriptors in a descriptive and analytical method in finding the meaning of syllables. However, each of them has tried to interpret th
... Show Moreكان لسياسات االحتالل دور بارز في فشل مشروع إعادة بناء الدولة في افغانستان، وفي الوقت نفسه تتحمل دول االحتالل المسؤ و لية الكاملة عن بعض هذه ً كبي ارً السياسات مثل عدم التخطيط الجيد لمرحلة االحتالل وإعادة بناء الدول ة، ثم إن جزءا من فشل هذه السياسات يرجع الى البيئتين المحلية واإلقليمية ، كذلك كان للخبرة السياسية والدستورية وللواقع االجتماعي الثقافي األفغاني تأثيرهما المهم في قدرة المجتمع األفغاني ً على قبول
... Show MoreA field Experiment was carried out in Baghdad for the purpose of compare five horticulture machines during used two types of fuel deffirance in octane number, normal and super fuel which produced in Iraqi and measuring the vibrations transmitted of the three axes are longitudinal X , lateral Y and vertical Z from handlebar in (Mowers) to the operator which walks behind the mower, and the determine of the productivity practical of cutting, productivity passing and fuel consumption. Experiment Factorial used with two factors, The first factor was Five Mowers vary in width , types, weight and company manufacturer, The Second factor was the types of fuel used internal combination engine horticulture mowers were Normal fuel with Octane Number 82
... Show MoreIn this paper we estimate the coefficients and scale parameter in linear regression model depending on the residuals are of type 1 of extreme value distribution for the largest values . This can be regard as an improvement for the studies with the smallest values . We study two estimation methods ( OLS & MLE ) where we resort to Newton – Raphson (NR) and Fisher Scoring methods to get MLE estimate because the difficulty of using the usual approach with MLE . The relative efficiency criterion is considered beside to the statistical inference procedures for the extreme value regression model of type 1 for largest values . Confidence interval , hypothesis testing for both scale parameter and regression coefficients
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