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استخدام المحاكاة للمفاضلة بين بعض الطرائق الحديثة لنموذج GM(1,1) لايجاد القيم المفقودة و تقدير المعلمات مع تطبيق عملي
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The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values ​​in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A Comparison Between Some Estimator Methods of Linear Regression Model With Auto-Correlated Errors With Application Data for the Wheat in Iraq
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This research a study model of linear regression problem of autocorrelation of random error is spread when a normal distribution as used in linear regression analysis for relationship between variables and through this relationship can predict the value of a variable with the values of other variables, and was comparing methods (method of least squares, method of the average un-weighted, Thiel method and Laplace method) using the mean square error (MSE) boxes and simulation and the study included fore sizes of samples (15, 30, 60, 100). The results showed that the least-squares method is best, applying the fore methods of buckwheat production data and the cultivated area of the provinces of Iraq for years (2010), (2011), (2012),

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison Branch and Bound Algorithm with Penalty Function Method for solving Non-linear Bi-level programming with application
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The problem of Bi-level programming is to reduce or maximize the function of the target by having another target function within the constraints. This problem has received a great deal of attention in the programming community due to the proliferation of applications and the use of evolutionary algorithms in addressing this kind of problem. Two non-linear bi-level programming methods are used in this paper. The goal is to achieve the optimal solution through the simulation method using the Monte Carlo method using different small and large sample sizes. The research reached the Branch Bound algorithm was preferred in solving the problem of non-linear two-level programming this is because the results were better.

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Forecasting the use of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Models (GARCH) Seasonality with practical application
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In this paper  has been one study of autoregressive generalized conditional heteroscedasticity models existence of the seasonal component, for the purpose applied to the daily financial data at high frequency is characterized by Heteroscedasticity seasonal conditional, it has been depending on Multiplicative seasonal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Models Which is symbolized by the Acronym (SGARCH) , which has proven effective expression of seasonal phenomenon as opposed to the usual GARCH models. The summarizing of the research work studying the daily data for the price of the dinar exchange rate against the dollar, has been used autocorrelation function to detect seasonal first, then was diagnosed wi

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 01 2022
Journal Name
المجلة الاوربية لتكنولوجيا علوم الرياضة
استخدام تمرينات مركبة (مهارية-ذهنية) في مساحات محددة وتأثيرها على بعض المهارات المركبة للاعبات كرة القدم الصالات
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يختص البحث بالمهارات المركبة للاعبات كرة الصلات ومدى تأثيرها في هذه المهارات وكذلك استخدام التمرينات المركبة والمهارية الذهنية في تلك المساحات

Publication Date
Sun May 12 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
تأثير استخدام استراتيجات ما بعد عدم التمكن في بعض القدرات البدنية العامة للملاكمين بعمر (11 – 14) سنة
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تتلخص مشكلة البحث في ان اغلب المناهج التدريبية لا تعطي اهتماما كبير لتدريبات تطوير القدرات البدنية العامة، ولا تفرغ لها مساحة كبيرة في المناهج التدريبية، هدف البحث - التعرف على تأثير تدريبات استراتيجيات ما بعد عدم التمكن في تطوير بعض القدرات البدنية لعينة البحث. واقترض الباحث ان هناك فروق ذات دلالة احصائية بين الاختبارات القبلية والبعدية لمجموعتي البحث، وبين الاختبارات البعدية للمجموعتين. وتكونت عينة

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
استخدام سلاسل ماركوف في التعرف على تعقبات الحامض النووي DNA
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استخدام سلاسل ماركوف في التعرف على تعقبات الحامض النووي DNA

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
استخدام برمجة (DeNovo) لتطوير شبكة المياه في استراتيجيات القرار المتعدد
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The object of this study is to establish a global model to use of DeNovo programming the strategies of multi-Decision making process in the city of Baghdad.

Thus, we have chosen an important and an effective subject in the life of the citizen due to the importance of this subject in the Iraqi citizen of luck of water and for many reasons.

In this thesis, we have tackled the establishment of a global model to be able to reach solution or an alternative model a money the available alternative.

        The alternative proposed here utilizes the application of the (DeNovo) programming approach suggested by (1982) in solving t

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 01 2016
Journal Name
Halabja University Journal
تأثير استخدام تمرينات للقوة المميزة بالسرعة على تعلم بعض المهارات الاساسية للمبتدئين بكرة اليد باسلوبي التعليم المتسلسل والعشوائي
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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Properties of Kumaraswamy binary Distribution and compare methods of estimating parameters
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The recent development in statistics has made statistical distributions the focus of researchers in the process of compensating for some distribution parameters with fixed values and obtaining a new distribution, in this study, the distribution of Kumaraswamy was studied from the constant distributions of the two parameters. The characteristics of the distribution were discussed through the presentation of the probability density function (p.d.f), the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.), the ratio of r, the reliability function and the hazard function. The parameters of the Kumaraswamy distribution were estimated using MLE, ME, LSEE by using the simulation method for different sampling sizes and using preli

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 17 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
comparison between the methods estimate nonparametric and semiparametric transfer function model in time series the Using simulation
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 The transfer function model the basic concepts in the time series. This model is used in the case of multivariate time series. As for the design of this model, it depends on the available data in the time series and other information in the series so when the representation of the transfer function model depends on the representation of the data In this research, the transfer function has been estimated using the style nonparametric represented in two method  local linear regression and cubic smoothing spline method The method of semi-parametric represented use semiparametric single index model, With four proposals, , That the goal of this research is comparing the capabilities of the above mentioned m

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