The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
In this paper has been one study of autoregressive generalized conditional heteroscedasticity models existence of the seasonal component, for the purpose applied to the daily financial data at high frequency is characterized by Heteroscedasticity seasonal conditional, it has been depending on Multiplicative seasonal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Models Which is symbolized by the Acronym (SGARCH) , which has proven effective expression of seasonal phenomenon as opposed to the usual GARCH models. The summarizing of the research work studying the daily data for the price of the dinar exchange rate against the dollar, has been used autocorrelation function to detect seasonal first, then was diagnosed wi
... Show Moreاسباب تفرد استخدام خط النسخ في تصميم الحروف الطباعية
في تعزيز بيئة الانتاج الرشيق استخدام اسلوب S -5
تتلخص مشكلة البحث في ان اغلب المناهج التدريبية لا تعطي اهتماما كبير لتدريبات تطوير القدرات البدنية العامة، ولا تفرغ لها مساحة كبيرة في المناهج التدريبية، هدف البحث - التعرف على تأثير تدريبات استراتيجيات ما بعد عدم التمكن في تطوير بعض القدرات البدنية لعينة البحث. واقترض الباحث ان هناك فروق ذات دلالة احصائية بين الاختبارات القبلية والبعدية لمجموعتي البحث، وبين الاختبارات البعدية للمجموعتين. وتكونت عينة
... Show Moreيختص البحث بالمهارات المركبة للاعبات كرة الصلات ومدى تأثيرها في هذه المهارات وكذلك استخدام التمرينات المركبة والمهارية الذهنية في تلك المساحات
The transfer function model the basic concepts in the time series. This model is used in the case of multivariate time series. As for the design of this model, it depends on the available data in the time series and other information in the series so when the representation of the transfer function model depends on the representation of the data In this research, the transfer function has been estimated using the style nonparametric represented in two method local linear regression and cubic smoothing spline method The method of semi-parametric represented use semiparametric single index model, With four proposals, , That the goal of this research is comparing the capabilities of the above mentioned m
... Show MoreThe recent development in statistics has made statistical distributions the focus of researchers in the process of compensating for some distribution parameters with fixed values and obtaining a new distribution, in this study, the distribution of Kumaraswamy was studied from the constant distributions of the two parameters. The characteristics of the distribution were discussed through the presentation of the probability density function (p.d.f), the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.), the ratio of r, the reliability function and the hazard function. The parameters of the Kumaraswamy distribution were estimated using MLE, ME, LSEE by using the simulation method for different sampling sizes and using preli
... Show MoreDiabetes mellitus caused by insulin resistance is prompted by obesity. Neuropeptide Nesfatin-1 was identified in several organs, including the central nervous system and pancreatic islet cells. Nesfatin-1 peptide appears to be involved in hypothalamic circuits that energy homeostasis and control food intake. Adiponectin is a plasma collagen-like protein produced by adipocytes that have been linked to the development of insulin resistance (IR), diabetes mellitus type 2 (DMT2), and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Resistin was first identified as an adipose tissue–specific hormone that was linked to obesity and diabetes. The aim of this study was to estimate the relationship between human serum nesfatin-1, adiponect
... Show Moreاستخدام سلاسل ماركوف في التعرف على تعقبات الحامض النووي DNA
The object of this study is to establish a global model to use of DeNovo programming the strategies of multi-Decision making process in the city of Baghdad.
Thus, we have chosen an important and an effective subject in the life of the citizen due to the importance of this subject in the Iraqi citizen of luck of water and for many reasons.
In this thesis, we have tackled the establishment of a global model to be able to reach solution or an alternative model a money the available alternative.
The alternative proposed here utilizes the application of the (DeNovo) programming approach suggested by (1982) in solving t
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