مـن المعـروف ان طبيعـة العلاقـة مـا بين العـراق والولايـات المتحـدة الامريكيـة تتمتـع بأهميـة بالغــة في الاوســاط السياســية ودوائــر صــنع القـــرار في الولايــات المتحــدة الامريكيــة لمــا لهــا مـــن انعكاسـات علـى مصـالح الاخـيرة في المنطقـة، وفي مقـدمتها أمـدادات الطاقـة، وعلـى الصـعيد نفسـه تنظر القوى السياسية العراقية الى هذه العلاقـة مـن زوايـا مختلفـة ولكنهـا جميعـا تقـع في خانـة الاهميـة الاستراتيجية للعراق، أذ يحرص طرفا العلاقة الى تحقيق اكبر قدر ممكـن مـن المكاسـب الاسـتراتيجية في البحـث بطبيعـة العلاقـة النوعيـة المسـتقبلية مـابين طـرفي المعادلـة، فالولايـات المتحـدة الامريكيـة تسـعى الى تشـكيل حالــة مـن التحـالف السياســي والاقتصـادي والعسـكري والامــني مـع الحكومــة العراقيــة يتمتــع بالاســتمرارية والشــرعية علــى المســتويات المختلفــة لمرحلــة ما بعــد أنســحاب القــوات الامريكية العام ٢٠١١ ،لاسيما أن العراق من وجهة النظـر الامريكيـة يعـد قـوة ذات ثقـل سياسـي يصــعب تجــاوزه ضــمن مــديات أقلــيم الشــرق الاوســط، لاسيما اذا ما أعيد تأهيــل دوره وضــبط سلوكيات نظامه السياسي في أطار علاقات التعاون أو معادلة التأثير الامريكـي ممـا سـيجعل حلقـة حلفاء الولايات المتحدة الامريكية في الاقليم مكتملة من الناحية الجيوستراتيجية، الامر الذي يعزز المصـالح والخيـارات الاسـتراتيجية المسـتقبلية للولايـات المتحـدة الامريكيـة في اقلـيم الشـرق الاوسـط ولاسيما في العـراق مـن حيـث صـياغة ترتيبـات أو تفاهمـات لتشـكيل أسس العلاقـة مـابين العـراق والولايات المتحدة الامريكية . ومن هنا نستطيع القول أن العراق يعد أولوية من أولويات الاستراتيجية الامريكيـة، نظـرا لمـــا يتمتـــع بـــه مـــن أهميـــة متميـــزة في مـــدركات صـــانع القـــرار الامريكـــي مـــن حيـــث الاهميـــة السياسية، الاقتصادية، العسـكرية، والامنيـة، لـذلك سـعت الولايـات المتحـدة الامريكيـة الى صـياغة ادوار العلاقة المستقبلية مع العراق في ضوء هذه المدركات والطروحات الاستراتيجية، وإعادة تأهيل دوره في المنطقـة بمـا يتناسـب مـع مسـارات الهيمنـة الامريكيـة، وذلـك عـن طريـق الـدخول في عقـد اتفاقات أو تفاهمات شراكة على مختلف المستويات في سبيل أعادة رسم خارطة لنموذج العلاقات المستقبلية مابين العراق والولايات المتحدة الامريكية لمرحلة مابعد انسحاب القوات الامريكية العام . ٢٠١١
The time series of statistical methods mission followed in this area analysis method, Figuring certain displayed on a certain period of time and analysis we can identify the pattern and the factors affecting them and use them to predict the future of the phenomenon of values, which helps to develop a way of predicting the development of the economic development of sound
The research aims to select the best model to predict the number of infections with hepatitis Alvairose models using Box - Jenkins non-seasonal forecasting in the future.
Data were collected from the Ministry of Health / Department of Health Statistics for the period (from January 2009 until December 2013) was used
... Show MoreThis research aims at forecasting the public budget of Iraq (surplus or deficit) for 2017 & 2018 through using two methods to forecast. First: forecast budget surplus or deficit by using IMF estimations average oil price per barrel adopted in the public federal budget amounted to USD 44 in 2017 & USD 46 in 2018; Second: forecast budget surplus or deficit by using MOO actual average oil price in global markets amounted to USD 66 in 2018 through applying Dynamic Model & Static Model. Then analyze the models to reach the best one. The research concluded that those estimations of dynamic forecasting model of budget surplus or deficit for 2017 & 2018 gives good reliable results for future periods when using the a
... Show MoreThis paper deals the prediction of the process of random spatial data of two properties, the first is called Primary variables and the second is called secondary variables , the method that were used in the prediction process for this type of data is technique Co-kriging , the method is usually used when the number of primary variables meant to predict for one of its elements is measured in a particular location a few (because of the cost or difficulty of obtaining them) compare with secondary variable which is the number of elements are available and highly correlated with primary variables, as was the&nbs
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The study is designed to identify intestinal parasitic infections examined at Al-Aziziyah Hospital in Wasit Governorate in Iraq. In this study, a total of (460) internal and external patients were monitored for intestinal parasitic infections. All stool samples were analyzed by the direct method (microscopic exam.) to discover the trophozoite stages and cyst stages for intestinal protozoan parasites. The most incidence parasites in different sex, area residence and different age groups. Out of (460) patient sample were infected with 217 at a percentage of (47.17%), 101(46.5%) were for males and 116 (53.5%) were for females. It was found that the numbers and percentages of a single (one
... Show MoreHeavy metal (HM) pollution has long been a significant source of environmental deterioration and a problem for the safety of food. Iraqis prefer rice over any other food, and since heavy metals have a direct impact on health, their traces in rice have drawn particular attention. Before cooking rice, it is usual in Iraq to wash and soak it. Some 55 varieties of imported and local rice were sampled from Erbil city markets in 2022 with the aim of determining the concentration of As, Cd, Cr, Ni and Pb before and after soaking. Standard procedure of acid digestions was applied on the raw and soaked samples. The solutions were analyzed using ICPE-9820 Shimadzu. The mean concentrations of As, Cd, Cr, Ni and Pb (in mg/kg) in the rice samples bef
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Since the railway transport sector is very important in many countries of the world, we have tried through this research to study the production function of this sector and to indicate the level of productivity under which it operates.
It was found through the estimation and analysis of the production function Kub - Duglas that the railway transport sector in Iraq suffers from a decline in the level of productivity, which was reflected in the deterioration of the level of services provided for the transport of passengers and goods. This led to the loss of the sector of importance in supporting the national economy and the reluctance of most passengers an
... Show MoreThe dividends is one of difficult and important decisions taken by the administration in the economic units, because this decision has a direct impact on the investor and economic unit, so the main objective of any investor is achieve earnings, as well as information borne by dividends about the earnings quality of the economic unit and the level and efficiency of management to achieving earnings.
The research aims at explaining the effect of the dividends policy on the earnings quality in the companies listed in the Iraq Stock Exchange. The Miller model was used to measu
... Show MoreInflation is one of the important issues that the economic authorities in all countries of the world care about, where the loss of money for its function is one of the most important and largest inflationary effects that this phenomenon leaves on the economy, and Iraq, like other countries, has had its share of the problem of inflation for a long time due to the circumstances that He went through it, whether it was the wars he fought or the economic blockade that was imposed on him in the nineties of the last century. Economically, the problem of inflation is addressed through the use of fiscal policy tools, including tax increases in order to abso
... Show MoreThe aim of this study was to provide an overall assessment to the efficiency of the Iraq stocks exchanges (ISE) through specifying well –known models .First, Fama's efficient market hypothesis as a contrary concept to the random walk hypothesis, was performed and it has been found that ISE follows the random process, so the price of the shares can't be predicated on the basis of past information. Second,we use a multifactor model, which so named multiple regression, to explore the link between ISE and the main economic indicators. our empirical analysis finds that every weak associations exists between major ISE measures and main economic indicators.
Bioindicators have an important role in assessing the quality of water bodies. Aquatic oligocheates, was used as a bioindicator to assess the sediment quality of Al-Hindyia and AL-Abbasyia river (branches of Euphrates River in Iraq). Two sites in each river have been chosen for this purpose, site S1 was located at Al-Hindyia River and S2 at Al-Abbasyia River. Some kinds of biological indices were used in this study, comprising the percentage of oligochaetes in benthic invertebrates, ranged from 20.3-60.16%. While the percentage of Tubificidae within benthic invertebrates was close 43.3-43.9%.Index of pollution D ranged from 0.13-0.21. The maximum percentage of aquatic oligochaetes to insects larvae of family
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