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The Bayesian Estimation in Competing Risks Analysis for Discrete Survival Data under Dynamic Methodology with Application to Dialysis Patients in Basra/ Iraq
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Survival analysis is one of the types of data analysis that describes the time period until the occurrence of an event of interest such as death or other events of importance in determining what will happen to the phenomenon studied. There may be more than one endpoint for the event, in which case it is called Competing risks. The purpose of this research is to apply the dynamic approach in the analysis of discrete survival time in order to estimate the effect of covariates over time, as well as modeling the nonlinear relationship between the covariates and the discrete hazard function through the use of the multinomial logistic model and the multivariate Cox model. For the purpose of conducting the estimation process for both the discrete hazard function and the time-dependent parameters, two estimation methods have been used that depend on the Bayes method according to dynamic modeling: the Maximum A Posterior method (MAP) This method was done using numerical methods represented by a Iteratively Weighted Kalman Filter Smoothing (IWKFS) and in combination with the Expectation maximization algorithm (EM), the other method is represented by the Hybrid Markov Chains Monte Carlo (HMCMC) method using the Metropolis Hasting algorithm (MH) and Gypsum sampling (GS). It was concluded that survival analysis by descretization the data into a set of intervals is more flexible and fluid, as this allows analyzing risks and diagnosing impacts that vary over time. The study was applied in the survival analysis on dialysis until either death occurred due to kidney failure or the competing event, represented by kidney transplantation. The most important variables affecting the patient’s cessation of dialysis were also identified for both events in this research.

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on the Behavior of the Stock Markets in the Turkish Economy
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             A discussion about the repercussions of the exchange rate on the behavior of stock markets became one of the basic principles of financial economics. The Istanbul Stock Exchange , considered  one of the fastest financial markets growing in the region, driven by solid economic activity, for a diversified economy  which classified as one of the the fastest growing economies in the world. However, the aforementioned market witnessed sharp fluctuations in the past few months, coinciding with the continuous fluctuations in the exchange rate of the Turkish lira, posing a serious challenge to the economic and investment environment in a c

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
Emotional Motivation in industrial products design and its reflection on the consumer
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This research discusses the subject of emotional stimulation factors through the stages of product design interaction with the consumer and what they reflect in the formation of a self-consideration of the design in his emotional memory regarding the specific brand through the following question (What is the emotional stimulus in the design of certain products and its reflection on the consumer during the processes of receiving and using it?), The importance of the research comes in the connection of design elements with many sensory factors used and motivating to attract the consumer to the acquisition of a specific design and the demand for its experience, the study aims Detection and access to emotional stimulation in the design of th

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
A New Approach for Developing Spectrophotometric Determination of Phenylephrine Drug in Pure, Pharmaceutics and Serum Samples Using Sodium Periodate as Oxidizing Agent via a Green Method of CFIA/Merging Zone Technique
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     The research involved a rapid, automated and highly accurate developed CFIA/MZ technique for estimation of phenylephrine hydrochloride (PHE) in pure, dosage forms and biological sample. This method is based on oxidative coupling reaction of 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine (DNPH) with PHE in existence of sodium periodate as oxidizing agent in alkaline medium to form a red colored product at ʎmax )520 nm (. A flow rate of 4.3 mL.min-1 using distilled water as a carrier, the method of FIA proved to be as a sensitive and economic analytical tool for estimation of PHE.

Within the concentration range of 5-300 μg.mL-1, a calibration curve was rectilinear, where the detection limit was 3.252 μg.mL

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 30 2022
Journal Name
مجلة اقتصاديات الاعمال للبحوث التطبيقية
تأثير اخلاقيات الاعمال في فاعلية تقارير محاسبة المسؤولية في ظل تباين ثقافة الوحدة الاقتصادية:دراسة استطلاعية على عينة من المحاسبين في الشركات الصناعية العراقية
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هدف البحث الى التعرف على العلاقة والاثر بين متغيرات البحث والمتمثلة بأخلاقيات الاعمال بمثابة متغير مستقل بأبعاده ( فريق العمل ، المسؤولية ، السرية ، القواعد والاجراءات الوظيفية ) ومحاسبة المسؤولية بمثابة متغير تابع، ومتغير وسيط هو الثقافة ، تمثل مجتمع البحث بمجموعة من الشركات الصناعية العراقية وتم اخذ عينة قصدية من محاسبي تلك الشركات بلغ عددهم (60) محاسبا حيث تم توزيع الاستبانة عليهم كأداة للبحث وتم تحليلها ب

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Improve Akaike’s Information Criterion Estimation Based on Denoising of Quadrature Mirror Filter Bank
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Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) is a popular method for estimation the number of sources impinging on an array of sensors, which is a problem of great interest in several applications. The performance of AIC degrades under low Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR). This paper is concerned with the development and application of quadrature mirror filters (QMF) for improving the performance of AIC. A new system is proposed to estimate the number of sources by applying AIC to the outputs of filter bank consisting quadrature mirror filters (QMF). The proposed system can estimate the number of sources under low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR).

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 11 2019
Journal Name
Aip Conference Proceedings
Estimation of shock wave position in plasma plume using Sedov-Taylor model
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In this work, radius of shock wave of plasma plume (R) and speed of plasma (U) have been calculated theoretically using Matlab program.

Publication Date
Mon Sep 03 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
A new vision for the classic in contemporary fashion designResearch
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        fashion designers who have benefited greatly from the mobilization of ancient aesthetic ideas in the heritage of the people and guaranteed in their productions so that there is no change In the aesthetic value created by the designers of the research in the ancient heritage to find new signs that reflect the connection of man to the present as the aesthetic value of all the man created by the designs of fabrics and fashion through the ages      The problem of research was determined in the absence of a precise understanding of the nature of classical thought in fashion and the absence of a clear perception of the sustainability of this thought in contemporary fashion. He

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
مجلة العلوم و التكنولوجية للنشاطات البدنية و الرياضية
The effect of the think, pair, and share strategy of using educational movies on learning jumping opened legs and closed legs skills on vault in artistic gymnastics for women
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The research aimed at identifying the effect of the think, pair, and share strategy by using educational movies on learning jumping opened legs and closed legs skills on vault in artistic gymnastics for women. It also aimed at identifying the group that learned better the skills understudy. The researcher used the experimental method on second-grade College of Physical Education and Sport Sciences female students. Twelve female students were selected from each of the two sections to form the subjects of the study. The main program was applied for eight weeks with one learning session per week. The data was collected and treated using SPSS to conclude that the think, pair, and share strategy and the traditional program have positive effects

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 31 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
The Effect of The Utilitarian Need For the High Water Tanks Towers to Sustain Life in the City
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      The service system has become a necessity of life in modern cities to be the most basic necessities of modern humans, they constitute a major base, which is based on the sustainability of life in the city and a standard measured through the degree of well-being and progress of civilized peoples and their interaction with the surrounding environment, making the services sector as a need not be an option, whenever the cities widened in population and space whenever provision of services and upgrading the quality and quantity more pressing, which made the subject of the services takes the biggest area of the trends and thinking of urban planners and those who in charge of drawing the cities policies. Consideri

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 26 2025
Journal Name
University Of Anbar Sport And Physical Education Sciences
The effect of using aids in spatial sense perception Throwing weights under 18 years old
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