transformations and successive crises the world has witnessed, which have led to ambiguity in the global scene and difficulty in predicting its future trajectories. The COVID-19 pandemic represented a pivotal event that reshaped the balance of international power, revealed the fragility of economic, political, and social structures in many countries, and cast its shadow over the system of international cooperation and global governance mechanisms. In light of these developments, the international system no longer operates according to the traditional rules and patterns that prevailed before the pandemic. Instead, it has entered a new phase characterized by instability, growing geopolitical competition, and shifting centers of power and influence. Accordingly, this study seeks to explore the features of transformation in the international system in the post-2020 era by employing the scenario methodology, which is among the most prominent methodological tools used in futures studies. This approach provides the ability to analyze potential trends and deal with high levels of uncertainty. The study focuses on constructing a set of possible theoretical scenarios for the future of the international system based on an analysis of the current political, economic, and security dynamics, while taking into account the nature of interactions among major international actors and the impact of cross-border crises such as pandemics, economic downturns, and regional conflicts. Thus, this study aims to contribute to enriching the academic debate on the future of the international system in light of the transformations imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic and to highlight the importance of the futures approach in the study of international relations as an analytical tool that enables a deeper understanding of global trends and patterns of change.
ان دراسة مستقبل النظام الدولي حاليا يبدو انه وفق المعطيات العلمية والوقائع القائمة في ظل بروز الفواعل الدولية من غير الدول، والمؤسسات غير الرسمية الدولية انه يتجه لنظام اللاقطبية وهذا الاتجاه تغذيه متغيرات عديدة لتقليص القطبية، ومن المتوقع مستقبلاً ان تحول النظام الدولي الى اللاقطبية.
The article analyzes the ideological and genre features of L. Ulitskaya's work "The Plague, or OOI in the City", examines the features of building an artistic whole, ways of creating images of characters and their characteristics, stylistic features of the work.
Abstract
The research dealt with a studying the impact of oil price fluctuations on one of the rules of financial discipline, which is the rule of budget deficit in the Iraqi economy for the period (2003-2020) as it is one of the quarterly economies that rely mainly on volatile oil revenues that fluctuate with oil prices in global markets, and therefore the general budget suffers. from The state of instability and then the government resorts to borrowing for a long time . this deficit in the general budget and increase the debt burden in the public debt.The research aim to measure and study the impact of oil price flu
... Show Moreهذا البحث محاولة لإيجاد حلولاً لما يُقال من تعارض بين النحو العربي واللسانيات ؛ إذ ممكن أن تُسهم اللسانيات في تطوير قضايا النحو وتحديثها ،ومن ثمة لا تعارض بينهما إذ يكتنف هذا القول الغموض والتسرع ؛ لأنّه يغفل عن أهمية تحديد المفاهيم وضبطها ،فلكل مفهوم خصوصياته الإبستمولوجية أبعاده الخاصة به ،وإنّ هذا المفهوم نلمسه من خلال وجود فروق جوهرية بين النحو واللسانيات ، إلا أنّ هذا الاختلاف لا ينفي التعاون وال
... Show MoreThe research intended to take into consideration the phenomena of employing the temporary employees through the business organization increasingly, which has become one of the most apparent features of the contemporary strategy of the human resources management. It depends on the analytical descrptive Approach to meet the research problem which has been focalized around the dispute praising regarding the phenomena of the temporary employment and its dimensions and challenges which can be faced by the management of human resources as a result .The importance of the research is represented as one of rare research which confronts to the phenomena of the temporary employment in the Iraqi business environment. The most prominent objec
... Show Moreان الدراما الاذاعية بدات تاريخياً مع بداية نقل الصوت البشري في الفضاء وايماناً باهمية الدراما الاذاعية وبامكانتها في نقل الروائع المسرحية الكلاسيكية وغيرها من النتاجات الادبية الحديثة. فلذلك بدأت الدول المتقدمة بتقديم الدراما في اذاعتها واهتمت اهتماماً كبيراً في وضع القواعد والاسس لكتابة أدب الدراما الاذاعية وبدأت تدرسها في جامعاتها كتقنية تربوية حديثة، وخصصت اوقاتاً كبيرة لبثها، ورصدت مبالغ طائلة لان
... Show MoreThe present theoretical study analyzes the legacy of the Chicago School of Urban Sociology and evaluates it in the light of the growth and development of Chicago City and the establishment of sociology in it. Sociology has become an academic discipline recognized in the United States of America in the late nineteenth century, particularly, after the establishment of the first department of sociology in the University of Chicago in 1892. That was during the period of the rapid industrialization and sustainable growth of the Chicago City. The Chicago School relied on Chicago City in particular, as one of the American cities that grew and expanded rapidly in the first two decades of the twentieth century. At the end of the nineteenth centur
... Show MoreDust storms are typical in arid and semi-arid regions such as the Middle East; the frequency and severity of dust storms have grown dramatically in Iraq in recent years. This paper identifies the dust storm sources in Iraq using remotely sensed data from Meteosat-spinning enhanced visible and infrared imager (SEVIRI) bands. Extracted combined satellite images and simulated frontal dust storm trajectories, using the Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model, are used to identify the most influential sources in the Middle East and Iraq. Out of 132 dust storms in Iraq during 2020–2023, the most frequent occurred in the spring and summer. A dust source frequency percentage map (DSFPM) is generated using ArcGIS so
... Show Moreعلى الرغم من تغيير أشخاص الحكم في إيران، إلا أَن نمط المحافظة على أهداف الثورة بقي يتسم بمفهوم المحدد الثابت في توظيف السياسات الداخلية والخارجية لدى قيادات السلطة التنفيذية، ومع هذا باتت هناك العديد من المتغيرات الداخلية التي تفرض نفسها على إدارة النظام في مختلف الجوانب الاجتماعية والاقتصادية ، وفي المجالات السياسية والأمنية، وهذا ما يميز النظام السياسي الإيراني عن سائر النظم السياسية العالمية ، الذي يتم
... Show Moreالتطهير العرقي هو إزالة قسرية منهجية للجماعات العرقية والدينية من منطقة معينة، بقصد جعل المنطقة متجانسة عرقياً وترافق الترحيل المباشر عمليات إبادة جماعية واغتصاب وتدمير الممتلكات، فبالتالي ممكن أن تعد جريمة التطهير العرقي جريمة ضد الإنسانية ويمكن أن تندرج ضمن اتفاقية الإبادة الجماعية. والتطير العرقي مفهوم مرتبط باستعمال العنف والسلاح من قبل جهة تتسم بالقوة ضد جهة أضعف، غالباً ما يكون التطرف والتع
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