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The Bayesian Estimation in Competing Risks Analysis for Discrete Survival Data under Dynamic Methodology with Application to Dialysis Patients in Basra/ Iraq
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Survival analysis is one of the types of data analysis that describes the time period until the occurrence of an event of interest such as death or other events of importance in determining what will happen to the phenomenon studied. There may be more than one endpoint for the event, in which case it is called Competing risks. The purpose of this research is to apply the dynamic approach in the analysis of discrete survival time in order to estimate the effect of covariates over time, as well as modeling the nonlinear relationship between the covariates and the discrete hazard function through the use of the multinomial logistic model and the multivariate Cox model. For the purpose of conducting the estimation process for both the discrete hazard function and the time-dependent parameters, two estimation methods have been used that depend on the Bayes method according to dynamic modeling: the Maximum A Posterior method (MAP) This method was done using numerical methods represented by a Iteratively Weighted Kalman Filter Smoothing (IWKFS) and in combination with the Expectation maximization algorithm (EM), the other method is represented by the Hybrid Markov Chains Monte Carlo (HMCMC) method using the Metropolis Hasting algorithm (MH) and Gypsum sampling (GS). It was concluded that survival analysis by descretization the data into a set of intervals is more flexible and fluid, as this allows analyzing risks and diagnosing impacts that vary over time. The study was applied in the survival analysis on dialysis until either death occurred due to kidney failure or the competing event, represented by kidney transplantation. The most important variables affecting the patient’s cessation of dialysis were also identified for both events in this research.

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 04 2011
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Approximate Solution of Delay Differential Equations Using the Collocation Method Based on Bernstien Polynomials???? ???????? ????????? ????????? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ???????? ??? ??????? ???? ?????????
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In this paper a modified approach have been used to find the approximate solution of ordinary delay differential equations with constant delay using the collocation method based on Bernstien polynomials.

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 08 2021
Journal Name
Caspian Journal Of Environmental Sciences 20 (1),
Evaluate the effect of alcoholic extraction of walnut on gonadal hormones of treated rats
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Publication Date
Tue Feb 12 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
A study of the structural and electrical properties of Ni1-x Cox Fe2O4 ferrites
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Ferrite with general formula Ni1-x Cox Fe2O4(where x=0.0.1,0.3,0.5,0.7, and 0.9), were prepared by standard ceramic technique. The main cubic spinel structure phase for all samples was confirmed by x-ray diffraction patterns. The lattice parameter results were (8.256-8.299 °A). Generally, x -ray density increased with the addition of Cobalt and showed value between (5.452-5.538gm/cm3). Atomic Force Microscopy (AFM) showed that the average grain size and surface roughness was decreasing with the increasing cobalt concentration. Scanning Electron Microscopy images show that grains had an irregular distribution and irregular shape. The A.C conductivity was found to increase with the frequency and the addition of Cobal

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 08 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Effect of thickness on the structure, morphology and A.C conductivity of Bi2S3 thin films
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Thin films samples of Bismuth sulfide Bi2S3 had deposited on
glass substrate using thermal evaporation method by chemical
method under vacuum of 10-5 Toor. XRD and AFM were used to
check the structure and morphology of the Bi2S3 thin films. The
results showed that the films with law thickness <700 nm were free
from any diffraction peaks refer to amorphous structure while films
with thickness≥700 nm was polycrystalline. The roughness decreases
while average grain size increases with the increase of thickness. The
A.C conductivity as function of frequency had studied in the
frequency range (50 to 5x106 Hz). The dielectric constant,
polarizability showed significant dependence upon the variation of
thic

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Mr. Hassan Ezzedine al-Ulum The social contract and popular power when Imam Ali
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حسن السيد عز الدين بحر العلوم العقد الاجتماعي والسلطة الشعبية عند الإمام علي (عليه السلام )

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 15 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
The impact of histopathological celiac disease activity on dental enamel defects and dental caries
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Background: Celiac disease is an autoimmune chronic disease that affects the human’s intestine and subsequently reflects its effect on the entire body health by retardation the absorption and immune mediated complications cause the involvement of oral health. The present study intended to evaluate the impact of the histopathological disease activity upon dental enamel defects and dental caries.

Subjects and methods: Forty celiac-diseased patients aged 7-11 years were collected from 3 different teaching hospitals in Baghdad classified by means of the histopathological activity of the intestinal disease according to modified Marsh-Ros

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 31 2022
Journal Name
Mathematical Modelling Of Engineering Problems
Evaluation of Al-Ishaqi Irrigation Project: A Case Study Eastern Canal of the Project
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An evaluation the performance of the irrigation system for the Al-Ishaqi irrigation project for the Eastern Canal was conducted to identify management strategies that can be used to improve the operation and performance of the irrigation system. The study area is located in Salah al-Din G.0overnorate, Iraq. The field work included determining the moisture content of the soil before and after irrigation, measuring the inflow of the field to find the depth of the applied water, field monitoring, and measuring the depth of the root zone for each irrigation process. Field measurements showed that the average efficiency of water application for the two fields (A, and B) are 59.81% and 38.6%, respectively. The results of the efficiency of

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2021
Journal Name
Computers And Concrete
Improving the seismic performance of reinforced concrete frames using an innovative metallic-shear damper
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Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2019
Journal Name
Biochemical & Cellular Archives
The impact of follicular fluid growth differentiation factor 8 levels on IVF /ICSI outcomes
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Clinical index is needed to predict the outcome of pregnancy after in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection-embryo transfer (IVF/ICSI-ET) for infertile patients. Growth differentiation factor-8 (GDF-8), also known as myostatin, is one of transforming growth factor-â superfamily localized in antral follicles in normal and PCOS ovaries but its function in female reproductive system is still unknown. Aim of the study is to assess the correlation between levels of GDF8 in follicular fluid (FF) with outcomes of in vitro fertilization (IVF/ICSI) in women with and without PCOS. A prospective case control study was performed enrolling (40) patients with PCOS and (40) non-PCOS women (male infertility) undergoing IVF/ICSI. The collect

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Scopus (2)
Scopus
Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
International Journal Of Economics And Finance Studies
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN COST REDUCTION AND REEVALUATING CUSTOMERS' DESIRES: THE MEDIATING ROLE OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
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